August 20, 2008

Obama is in free fall

Ted Belman

Michael Freund discusses Baruch Obama’s support among Jews

    Early last month, you’ll recall, headlines blared in the US and Israeli press trumpeting the results of a Gallup survey conducted back in April which found that American Jews preferred Democratic hopeful Barack Obama by a margin of 61 to 32 over his GOP rival.

    For many observers, it seemed to confirm the time-honored tradition that American Jews continue to remain solidly in the Democratic camp. After all, a two-to-one margin represents a compelling advantage. However, here’s something the mainstream media has not, and likely will not, tell you: Obama’s support among US Jewry is on the decline.

    This became apparent in another, more recent Gallup poll published on June 5, which showed that the race for support among American Jews has begun to tighten, with Obama now leading McCain by a margin of 57 to 35. That represents a narrowing of the gap from 29 to 22 points in just one month. Moreover, it comes despite the free ride, and the fawning coverage, that Obama has been getting from much of the American press.


A LA Times/ Bloomberg Poll has Obama and McCain in a Dead Heat

Israel Matzav notes

    While winning a large majority among Jews doesn’t guarantee a victory for Democratic candidates, not winning a large majority will almost certainly guarantee a loss.

Atlas Shrugs points out Jew hater Jimmy Carter to Speak at Obama’s Convention. Obama obviously thinks he can do without the Jewish vote.

Atlas Shrugs

    The Democrats - the party of racists, haters, moochers, looters …………… a party most foul.

Works for me

ADDENDUM
Poll shows McCain in 5-point lead over Obama
Wed Aug 20, 2008 1:01pm BST

By John Whitesides, Political Correspondent

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - In a sharp turnaround, Republican John McCain has opened a 5-point lead on Democrat Barack Obama in the U.S. presidential race and is seen as a stronger manager of the economy, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Wednesday.

McCain leads Obama among likely U.S. voters by 46 percent to 41 percent, wiping out Obama’s solid 7-point advantage in July and taking his first lead in the monthly Reuters/Zogby poll.

The reversal follows a month of attacks by McCain, who has questioned Obama’s experience, criticized his opposition to most new offshore oil drilling and mocked his overseas trip.

The poll was taken Thursday through Saturday as Obama wrapped up a weeklong vacation in Hawaii that ceded the political spotlight to McCain, who seized on Russia’s invasion of Georgia to emphasize his foreign policy views.

“There is no doubt the campaign to discredit Obama is paying off for McCain right now,” pollster John Zogby said. “This is a significant ebb for Obama.”

McCain now has a 9-point edge, 49 percent to 40 percent, over Obama on the critical question of who would be the best manager of the economy — an issue nearly half of voters said was their top concern in the November 4 presidential election.

That margin reversed Obama’s 4-point edge last month on the economy over McCain, an Arizona senator and former Vietnam prisoner of war who has admitted a lack of economic expertise and shows far greater interest in foreign and military policy.

McCain has been on the offensive against Obama during the last month over energy concerns, with polls showing strong majorities supporting his call for an expansion of offshore oil drilling as gasoline prices hover near $4 a gallon.

Obama had opposed new offshore drilling, but said recently he would support a limited expansion as part of a comprehensive energy program.

That was one of several recent policy shifts for Obama, as he positions himself for the general election battle. But Zogby said the changes could be taking a toll on Obama’s support, particularly among Democrats and self-described liberals.

“That hairline difference between nuance and what appears to be flip-flopping is hurting him with liberal voters,” Zogby said.

Obama’s support among Democrats fell 9 percentage points this month to 74 percent, while McCain has the backing of 81 percent of Republicans. Support for Obama, an Illinois senator, fell 12 percentage points among liberals, with 10 percent of liberals still undecided compared to 9 percent of conservatives.

OBAMA NEEDS TO WORK ON BASE

“Conservatives were supposed to be the bigger problem for McCain,” Zogby said. “Obama still has work to do on his base. At this point McCain seems to be doing a better job with his.”

The dip in support for Obama, who would be the first black U.S. president, cut across demographic and ideological lines. He slipped among Catholics, born-again Christians, women, independents and younger voters. He retained the support of more than 90 percent of black voters.

“There were no wild swings, there isn’t one group that is radically different than last month or even two months ago. It was just a steady decline for Obama across the board,” Zogby said.

Obama’s support among voters between the ages of 18 and 29, which had been one of his strengths, slipped 12 percentage points to 52 percent. McCain, who will turn 72 next week, was winning 40 percent of younger voters.

“Those are not the numbers Obama needs to win,” Zogby said about Americans under 30. The 47-year-old is counting on a strong turnout among young voters, a key bloc of support during his primary battle with New York Sen. Hillary Clinton.

It made little difference when independent candidate Ralph Nader and Libertarian Party candidate Bob Barr, who are both trying to add their names to state ballots.

McCain still held a 5-point edge over Obama, 44 percent to 39 percent, when all four names were included. Barr earned 3 percent and Nader 2 percent.

Most national polls have given Obama a narrow lead over McCain throughout the summer. In the Reuters/Zogby poll, Obama had a 5-point lead in June, shortly after he clinched the Democratic nomination, and an 8-point lead on McCain in May.

The telephone poll of 1,089 likely voters had a margin of error of 3 percentage points.

The poll was taken as both candidates head into their nominating conventions and the announcements of their choices of vice presidential picks. The Democratic convention begins on Monday in Denver, with the Republican convention opening the next Monday, September 1, in St. Paul, Minnesota.

(Editing by Patricia Wilson and Patricia Zengerle)

Posted by Ted Belman @ 2:33 am |

8 Comments


  1. Jimmy Carter will be in good company. Amy Schwartzman will be amongst four rabbis invited to speak and lead the opening prayer at the Democratic convention next week. Schwartzman, a reform rabbi from Virginia, is a member of the hard-left Brit Tzedek v’Shalom which advocates for a divided Jerusalem and consistently condemns Israel for “violations” of the Road Map while sanitizing Palestinian terror and rocket attacks. Schwartzman also signed a petition opposing Ros-Lehtinen/Lantos Bill, HR4681, which would deny US taxpayer money to the PA unless Hamas relents on its commitment to the destruction of Israel and the extermination of the Jewish people.

    Comment by Charles Martel — August 20, 2008 @ 11:40 am



  2. YID With LID
    Obama’s ANTI-ISRAEL Feelings Slip Through Again

    Posted: 20 Aug 2008 05:21 AM CDT

    This item was SHOCKING in its stupidity:

    Jimmy Carter, John Kerry and Chicago Mayor Richard Daley will be among the speakers at next week’s Democratic National Convention, organizers announced today…….

    Former president Carter also is scheduled to speak Monday night, as is Jerry Kellman, a mentor to Obama during his days as a community organizer in Chicago source

    So the question is…which is it. Is Senator Barack Obama TOTALLY insensitive to the Jewish Community or is he just BRAIN DEAD. If the Democratic candidate is trying to court the Jewish vote he has a funny way of showing it. JIMMY CARTER IS THE MOST ANTI-ISRAEL AND ANTI-SEMITIC PRESIDENT SINCE ISRAEL WAS CREATED IN 1948. And now Senator Obama is giving the bigot, a NATIONAL STAGE at the convention.

    Ambassador Marc Ginsburg who was Jimmy Carter’s deputy senior adviser on the Middle East, and from 1977 through 1980 was White House liaison to the State Department. He has a unique perspective of Jimmy Carter’s Middle East dealings. According to the Ambassidor, the reason that the Peanut President goes out of his way to bash Israel is that he feels American Jews did not kiss his butt enough for all that he did for Israel. Let me put it another way Carter Screws Israel to Get Back at American Jews. You get Obama? The man doesn’t like Jews.

    Jimmy Carter says America Should Negotiate with Hamas. Is That YOUR position?

    Jimmy Carter Says Israel is an Apartheid State. Is That YOUR Position?

    Did you read one newspaper last year when he was prancing around the world trying to de-ligitimize Israel?

    Or is it that your true anti-Israel feelings slipping through again?

    Please email me at yidwithlid@aol.com to be put onto my mailing list. Feel free to reproduce any article but please link back to http://yidwithlid.blogspot.com

    Comment by yamit82 — August 20, 2008 @ 12:01 pm



  3. riday, May 30, 2008 Yid With a Lid
    Carter Screws Israel to Get Back at American Jews

    Ambassador Marc Ginsburg was Jimmy Carter’s deputy senior adviser on the Middle East, and from 1977 through 1980 was White House liaison to the State Department. He has a unique perspective of Jimmy Carter’s Middle East dealings. According to the Ambassidor, the reason that the Peanut President goes out of his way to bash Israel is that he feels American Jews did not kiss his butt enough for all that he did for Israel. Read more of the Ambassador’s comments below:

    Carter Adviser Ginsberg: Carter Blasting Israel Out of Spite

    By: Rick Pedraza
    When former President Jimmy Carter revealed that Israel has more than 150 nuclear weapons, he clearly had a motive, according to his administration’s deputy senior adviser, Marc Ginsberg: “I think there’s no doubt — particularly given the vantage point I had in the White House at the end of his administration — that he resents the way in which Israel and the American-Jewish community have failed to express sufficient gratitude for his efforts on behalf of peace in the Middle East.

    “In my judgment, there’s no other explanation,” Ginsberg says.

    Ginsberg, a former ambassador to Morocco and now senior global affairs analyst for Fox News, says that Carter knows what he said is something never discussed by America or Israel and that disclosing Israel’s nuclear arsenal is due to his growing antagonism towards the Jewish state.

    “There’s no doubt he knows exactly what he is doing when he’s making these statements, or making misrepresentations that Hamas has agreed to recognize Israel if certain conditions occur, or to the book he wrote [‘Palestine: Peace Not Apartheid’] referring to Israel.”

    Ginsberg says Carter’s revelation fits into a pattern of mischief on the part of the former president in recent months, “probably fueled by the amount of money the Carter Center is getting from Arab sources.”

    Israel and the United States have gone on record as saying Carter’s remarks are irresponsible, but Ginsberg says they are “down right mischievous.”

    “He drops these mischievous lines and engages in mischievous diplomacy that, I believe, are counterproductive not only to America’s interests in the Middle East, but also, ultimately, to his own legacy,” he says.

    “The idea that you drop the number of nuclear weapons Israel may have at a time when it’s been tradition to treat the number from a position of ‘strategic ambiguity’ is not only irresponsible, it also fuels incentives on the part of countries like Iran to justify their own nuclear program.”

    Ginsberg also can’t fathom why Carter tries to engage with Hamas, a sworn enemy of Israel, at a time when Hamas doesn’t recognize Israel’s right to exist. He says Israel has enormous disdain and contempt for Carter’s actions and believes Carter can never again play a role in the peace process now that he no longer enjoys the impartiality of either side.

    “It seems to me to be counterproductive to the legacy he wants to preserve: that he’s a man of impartiality and a man of peace,” he says.

    Carter’s presidency was defined by the American hostage crisis in Tehran, where 52 U.S. diplomats were held for 444 days. Ginsberg thinks Carter is doing and saying things now to try to change the way history records him.

    “I was very proud when I worked for him at Camp David, and I thought he was clearly committed to long-term efforts to forge a peace in the Middle East. But these acts, particularly during the last few months, undermine the legacy I think he’s trying to create,” Ginsberg says.

    “He’s no longer an honest broker in the Middle East.”

    Comment by yamit82 — August 20, 2008 @ 12:04 pm



  4. I guess Jewish voters must be reading what Obama’s supporters have to say about “kike filth” and “the Jewish lobby” at My.Barackobama.com, with the apparent sanction of the moderators who exercise editorial control over the site. Or perhaps they know he is consorting openly with anti-Semites like Al Sharpton.

    Comment by Bill Levinson — August 20, 2008 @ 2:04 pm



  5. If someone hits your car, that’s an accident. If they continually hit your car, that’s on purpose. I once asked a lawyer about this. He said that when there is a choice between stupidity and conspiracy then the probabilities are very high that the recklessness is due to stupidity.

    So I deduced that the case with politicians is that they are overly representative of the reckless, conspiratorial sample, because they know that they can get away with it. We know they’re not stupid.

    Comment by elvis — August 20, 2008 @ 3:32 pm



  6. I guess Jewish voters must be reading what Obama’s supporters have to say about “kike filth” and “the Jewish lobby” at My.Barackobama.com, with the apparent sanction of the moderators who exercise editorial control over the site. Or perhaps they know he is consorting openly with anti-Semites like Al Sharpton.

    This matters not at all to leftist Jews like crazy Rosanne who thinks Israel and Judaism is evil and that the Arabs are wonderful and peace-loving.

    Comment by Laura — August 20, 2008 @ 3:34 pm



  7. Laura, Because they’re all ONE with the synagogue of Satan. The realization that the beast was already here during the 20th century building his empire on earth, is alive today in the vast networks I highlighted, and has the backing of the power of fallen angels and their devotees - that should be enough - the DNC is EVIL, PURE EVIL - and I suspect that the KGB bought a lot of them off - how else do you explain that democrats want to take down the Ten Commandments from the Legal Courts? Democrats want to abort babies; demcrats want to remove the cross and the nativity; Democrats advocate homosexuality, homosexual marriages; homosexual adoptions; democrats side with Russians, Chinese Communists against Republican Americans; democrats hate Biblical Law; democrats have sold American companies over to foreign interests; democrats created Masonry; democrats use women and blacks to further their God-hating agenda.

    Comment by Michael Sunstar — August 21, 2008 @ 1:09 am



  8. I just added an article to the post.
    Zogby Poll gives McCain a 5 point lead.

    Comment by Ted Belman — August 21, 2008 @ 1:40 am


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