The Golan is safe for now.
By Ted Belman
There is no way Syria is going to agree to Israel’s terms for “peace”. So don’t worry that the Golan is being offered. Syria has bigger fish to fry.
In my article Syria wants to annex Lebanon to be begin with, I set out some of the reasons. Here are some more.
Such a deal would require a total transformation of what they are.
Barry Rubin says Syria would rather be in a perpetual state of war rather than in a perpetual state of peace. Peace would destabilize the regime.
Syria has stood up to US pressure which has been intense for a number of years and now it is at odds with S. Arabia.
Syria has always lead the rejectionist camp.
Syria massed on Jordan’s border in 1970 preparing to attack Jordan until Israel warned it off.
Syria is a country that has assassinated over 6 anti-Syrian politicians in Lebanon, It has rearmed Hezbollah contrary to UNSC Res 1701. It killed 20,000 of its own people at Hama. It has supported the insurgency in Iraq. It has a huge stockpile of WMD. It even tried to build a nuclear facility.
Israel would never negotiate a deal without US approval. So Israel’s discussions are with US blessings. The US wants to talk to Syria to change sides totally and Israel is feeling Syria out on this.
And the biggest reason is that Syria is dedicated to Israel’s destruction.
So the Golan is safe for now.