The IMF and the Palestinians

The IMF and the Palestinians

The latest letter from David Frankfurter makes fascinating reading.

Dear Friends, The International Monetary Fund has just issued a 139 page report WEST BANK AND GAZA Economic Performance and Reform under Conflict Conditions. The report is 131 tightly worded pages. So far, the press has understandably only picked up the highlights as outlined in a press conference. As with many such conferences, political considerations prevail and some of the more important points are swept out of public view, to allow the "professionals" to get on with the job. Just skimming the report gives some interesting perspectives: The decline in the Palestinian economy as a consequence of the war they have waging against Israel for the last 3 years has been far less than you might think. The IMF sets the contraction at about 30% - not the 50% - 80% one sees touted in the popular press. I wonder if this is not less than the contraction in the Israeli economy in the same period. Palestinian banks and financial institutions are fully functioning. Things may be bad - but they are not as bad as the popular press would have you believe.
The report acknowledges that Israel has significantly helped the Palestinian economy by agreeing to transfer again funds which have been withheld since the beginning of the Intifada. It also acknowledges that the economic relationship with Israel was "extremely productive" for the Palestinians, and that they enjoyed prosperity in the years that preceded the Intifada : so they were never "oppressed" or "strangled" by Israel, and had no reason to despair from the Peace Process and resort to terrorism, as some would have it. The report clearly states that the motivator for the introduction of fiscal and political reforms was near bankruptcy caused by budgetary mismanagement. What this implies is that if the international community had linked their aid to reforms and a cessation of violence from the outset, positive processes may have started much earlier. The popular press very quickly picked up the $900m of tax money that Arafat skimmed into secret accounts. They also picked up that 'most' of this money had been invested in Palestinian public assets. What they didn't note was that this probably makes Arafat the owner of most of the Palestinian public economy, and more importantly that they have no idea where the rest of the money went. When pressed very hard at the press conference, the IMF admitted that this money might have been 'misused'. Ask any one of the thousands of families whose loved ones have been killed or wounded in the current Arafat War to find out what this euphemism might politely disguise. The popular press overlooked that this was just one source of 'leakage' - the only one which had been thoroughly researched and quantified. The report spells out specific weaknesses in the controls over other budgets (including accounts into which international aid money was fed). The weaknesses identified with the report correspond almost exactly with the documentation of methods of funding terrorism discovered by the IDF and categorically denied by the European Union. No doubt the really keen could learn a lot more from a thorough reading - but the above gives some indications of how to relate to the reports that do appear in the papers.

Posted by Rajiv Singh at September 22, 2003 06:09 PM


Comments

1. freddie said:

One way to tighten the economic noose: cut lots of water to the Palestinians and sell them bottled water at outrageous prices. Their EU pals and the Saudis and Iran can afford the price and this would help Israel's economy as reparations owned because of expenses of combatting intifada.

Posted by: freddie on September 22, 2003 06:19 PM

2. Carol in California said:

The arabs, here, are terrorist savages, and spawners of terrorist savages. If you think it's just Israel's problem, you are wrong. The arabs will reap what they have sowed. They've created a hostile culture that is hated worldwide.

You'd think there were enough savages and cannibals at the bottom of the cesspool. But the lazy arabs showed the world!

WHere are their jobs?

Where are their schools?

Where are their methods of growing intelligent family life?

They squat. Therefore they are. NOT.

Posted by: Carol in California on September 22, 2003 09:38 PM