Missing the Target on Nonproliferation?
Missing the Target on Nonproliferation?
Jerry Sorkin discusses whether the Bush administration is "Missing the Target on Nonproliferation?":
In September 2002, President George W. Bush unveiled a new national security strategy that underscored the dangers posed by the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction (WMD). "The gravest danger our nation faces lies at the crossroads of radicalism and technology," he wrote. Central to the president's strategy was "proactive counter-proliferation."
More than two years later, how goes this strategy? There has been some success. The Libyan regime has abandoned its nuclear program. But the threat from Iran and North Korea looms larger than ever. And, while North Korea spreads missile technology throughout the Middle East, and Iran works to enrich weapons-grade uranium, there is evidence that, rather than rolling back proliferation, U.S. policymakers are missing the target, instead spending their resources chasing phantoms. While the Islamic Republic of Iran systematically built its centrifuges and imported reactor parts, in a Kafkaesque situation, the full wrath of U.S. counter-proliferation efforts descended upon my suburban Philadelphia antiques business.
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Posted by Andrew Jaffee at January 23, 2005 04:30 PM
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BobW
said:
The USG Philadelphia seizure of a purely commercial shipment was not symbolic nor a failure. The diplomatic signal told China that foreign exchange losses must be factored into their proliferation assistance to Iran.
Proliferation cannot be stopped. It can only be delayed and hindered. It wasn't only the shipping that was targeted. It was the entire logistics chain.
Retroactive actions do not counter US practice. Grace periods were allowed IF the grace period benefited the USG. Otherwise, they were and still are used.
Jerry Sorkin bought his rugs and furniture without considering the business risks. Did he insure against these risks? Apparently not. Sorkin probably still believes jurisprudence governs the US import-export trade.
I am sure NORINCO has management programs in place to protect against its risk of an annual loss of $US 100 million. Just reading the author's footnotes and the text's names of his advisors indicates he does not have management programs in place to protect against these risks.
Kol tuv,
BobW
Posted by: BobW on January 24, 2005 05:11 AM
Missing the Target on Nonproliferation?
Jerry Sorkin discusses whether the Bush administration is "Missing the Target on Nonproliferation?":
Continue reading...
Posted by Andrew Jaffee at January 23, 2005 04:30 PM