One down, one to go

One down, one to go

DEBKAfile Analysis: North Korean nuclear accord weakens Iran’s position

The North Korean nuclear breakthrough is a major diplomatic victory for the Bush administration. The achievement is timely in that isolates Iran as nuclear transgressor on the day of the UN nuclear watchdog’s board meeting in Vienna on the European demand to refer Iran’s violations to the UN Security Council for sanctions. Tehran loses a fellow nuclear rogue for help in solving technical problems that continue to dog its nuclear program and its collaborator in the development of long-range, nuclear-capable missiles. In the past Tehran and Pyongyang exchanged delegations of military scientists.

Iranian and Syrians working in North Korea’s nuclear industry will be forced to return home. Their secret contracts will go by the board. Moscow will also have to limit its nuclear contracts with Tehran to the restrictions of the new deal with Pyongyang.

The six-party agreement opens the way for an economic revolution in the Korean peninsula with the potential for fruitful collaboration between the two Koreas.

It is not clear if Pyongyang has gone as far Libya in 2003 in relinquishing its nuclear weapons industry in toto. The fact is that US intelligence strongly doubted the North’s claim last February that it was in possession of an atomic bomb.

If so, Kim Il Sung played a cool hand for the highest stakes, enough to haul his country out of the Stalinist era and into the prosperous world of China and South Korea.

The extent of the incentives promised the North is not revealed in the statement issued jointly by the United Stats, Russia, Japan, China, North Korea and South Korea Monday, Sept 19. But the starving nation will almost will almost certainly be granted economic aid, as well as power stations, industry and the infrastructure of a modern economy capable of eventually of interlocking with the advanced South.

Posted by Ted Belman at September 19, 2005 10:38 AM

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Comments

1. BobW said:

Is there a remote possibility that a developed North Korea that's "capable of eventually "interlocking with the advanced South" also be capable of interlocking with China?

This would place China on the Sea of Japan, something that's on their list of things to do.

Kol tuv,
BobW

Posted by: BobW on September 20, 2005 06:38 AM

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