Understanding "unilateral withdrawal"

Understanding "unilateral withdrawal"

By Ted Belman (updated)

Aluf Benn and Mazal Mualem report “Olmert facing dissent within Kadima over unilateral pullout”,

Senior Kadima figures Avi Dichter and Tzachi Hanegbi strongly oppose party leader and Acting Prime Minister Ehud Olmert's vision of further unilateral withdrawals in the West Bank, Army Radio reported Wednesday.

In his first media interview since taking on the job of acting premier, Olmert said Tuesday that Israel "will separate from most of the Palestinian population that lives in the West Bank, and that will obligate us to separate as well from territories where the State of Israel currently is."

"We will gather ourselves into the main settlement blocs and preserve united Jerusalem... Ma'aleh Adumim, Gush Etzion and Ariel will be part of the state of Israel," Olmert told Channel 2 television.

Asked by interviewer Nissim Mishal what he intended to do with the Jordan Valley, Olmert responded: "It is impossible to give up control over Israel's eastern border."

"The direction is clear," he continued. "We are moving toward separation from the Palestinians, toward setting Israel's permanent border."


The opposition to unilateral withdrawal within Kadima due mainly to the dictates of security needs is welcomed.

A recent poll finds that "the Israeli public does not support additional significant unilateral withdrawals if after the elections it becomes clear that the PA doesn't fight terror and it is not possible to advance in accordance with the Road Map (no peace partner)." In other words the Israeli public only supports withdrawal in the context of the Roadmap but not unilateral withdrawal.

That is why "Olmert also reiterated that the road map peace plan would remain the basis for any diplomatic negotiations with the Palestinians" according to Benn.

I am afraid that unilateral withdrawal is not consistent with the Roadmap which anticipated parallel steps being taken.
While I hated the Roadmap (and wrote Reject the Roadmap ) and still do, it offers Israel certain benefits for withdrawal namely;

-- Palestinian leadership issues unequivocal statement reiterating Israel's right to exist in peace and security and calling for an immediate and unconditional ceasefire to end armed activity and all acts of violence against Israelis anywhere. All official Palestinian institutions end incitement against Israel.

-- Palestinians declare an unequivocal end to violence and terrorism and undertake visible efforts on the ground to arrest, disrupt, and restrain individuals and groups conducting and planning violent attacks on Israelis anywhere.

-- Rebuilt and refocused Palestinian Authority security apparatus begins sustained, targeted, and effective operations aimed at confronting all those engaged in terror and dismantlement of terrorist capabilities and infrastructure. This includes commencing confiscation of illegal weapons and consolidation of security authority, free of association with terror and corruption.


This was to be done in the first Phase. It is obvious that the Arabs are doing the opposite of what is required of them. In addition the Roadmap provided that upon signing a final agreement,
-- Arab state acceptance of full normal relations with Israel and security for all the states of the region in the context of a comprehensive Arab-Israeli peace.

Proponents of unilateral withdrawal are in effect abandoning all benefits accorded in the Roadmap and opting instead for the alleged benefits of "separation", one of which is "ending the occupation".

Olmert goes so far as to say he is moving "toward setting Israel's permanent border." Let's be clear about this, unilateral withdrawal does no such thing. Israel annexed all of Jerusalem in '67 and the international community ignored the annexation. Israel can do what it wants in setting "permanent borders" but without world recognition such borders are meaningless. Israel would have given all that is required of them by the Roadmap without any of the benefits above set out. On the other hand, if international community would recognize such borders in advance, it would be reason to withdraw. We are far from that recognition.

In fact DEBKAfile reports that a subsequent meeting between Livni and Rice,

In a couple of sharp sentences, Rice rejected in advance Livni’s disqualification of Hamas as a negotiating partner and negation of a Hamas terror state. She also briskly dismissed caretaker PM Ehud Olmert’s manifesto, as broadcast Tuesday, to work for permanent borders and the separation of the Jewish state from the majority of Palestinians, hand over large West Bank tracts while retaining the main settlement blocs and united Jerusalem and exercising control over Israel’s eastern border.

These are matters for final-status negotiations, she said dismissively for Olmert’s benefit, following the same line taken by the Bush administration when this policy was pursued by Ariel Sharon. "Under no circumstances should anyone try and do that in a preemptive or predetermined way, because these are issues for negotiation at final status.”

So much setting permanent borders.

Thus for Olmert, the occupation is the problem (preventing acceptance and legitimacy) and must be ended rather than the occupation is the solution (protecting Israel and its negotiating position) and must be maintained.

I commented on this in Is Israel's greatest threat; demographics or indefensible borders?and in Ends and Means”.

Put another way, should Israel hold out for a negotiated settlement as required by the Roadmap or end the occupation by unilateral withdrawal.

Israel should abandon the Roadmap because none of the promised benefits are likely to be received and because a two state solution is not a viable solution. As long as Israel pays lip service to the Roadmap, not enough attention is being given to alternatives.

Rather then Israel hoping for acceptance by Hamas, Hamas should be praying for acceptance by Israel. Israel should destroy Hamas rather then accept it.

Posted by Ted Belman at February 9, 2006 10:09 AM

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Comments

1. Peretz Rickett said:

Ted, I feel like you are right on the cusp of writing an article rejecting your previous support of the "disengagement". Am I off the mark? Is it safe to say that you recognize the results of the "disengement" as a disaster and that you were mistaken to support it?

Posted by: Peretz Rickett on February 8, 2006 11:29 AM

2. A Time To Speak said:

What slots do Hanegbi and Diskin hold on the Kad election slate?

Are they afraid that if Olmert goes on with his declared policies he will lose enough votes that they may not get seats for themselves?

Posted by: A Time To Speak on February 8, 2006 01:07 PM

3. Ed D said:

I agree that the "Road Map" as interpreted by GWB, was an asanine idea to begin with as if one might expect the word of the Muslims as kept. With only a slight difference between the concept of Kadima to separate from the Palestinians and give back land that the Jews worldwide were given by G-d, I would change the concept of separation of separating Palestinians from the Jews. Remove all Palestinians from Israel, including Jerusalem and retake Gaza and deport all Palestinians to other Arab countries. Hell, if we are going to make them angry, let's really piss them off.

Posted by: Ed D on February 8, 2006 02:59 PM

4. Roy C.Hudson said:


Sir.
It is time for Israel to Do what Iarael Has to do for there own survival from now on.
The Unilateral is the only way that Israel has a chance in there own Land. Israel don't
have to Please anyone but themselves. Israel has been willing to live with this people.
Israel don't owe The Terrorist Organization any respect what soever. The land for Peace
is a Bad dream that Mr, Daddy Bush had, and passed it on to his Kid, George. This is a
Disgrace to the Sane minded people in the USA. The Tri-lateral was set up by the EU, UN
the USA, If Israel had a Vote it was just one '1' Against, "Literally" all the enemy of
Israel according to History.!! The Road map. The Land for Peace. the Tri-Lateral etc.
is all a ditect attack on Israel. By all the Gentile Systems of the world at this time.
To the so called Wise men that are in leadership. Look around and see how your trying to
APPEASE is paying off tonight. This religious Movement is after the Land of Israel,FIRST,
and you are next. They have already told you that.!!! In the EU. one Man in 2000, ask for
a Vant-Gard. He got it. The name has been changed to a Rapid Defence Force. They will not
ask Israel if they can use it, when the time comes to put down the Enemy. Israel Don't
Have to Please them, or anyone to protect there People, Land and there Holy Capital site.
JERUSALEM, all of it that they want. If they are willing to set the Terrorist some free
Boundaries,They better Lay down there Guns and take it.Israel plans to Survive this time.
They are in the Right place, at the right time.Zechariah:12: 1-10 etc. Look it up.
Roy C. Hudson Feb,8/06 USA.

Posted by: Roy C.Hudson on February 8, 2006 06:26 PM

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