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  • September 25, 2010

    Journalist Reveals The PA’s ‘Palestine Plot’

    “The more people who understand what is going on, the better our chance of beating this plot.”

    Behind this endless game lies an important consideration: What happens the day after the talks fail? What is the alternative plan? Unlike Israel, Elitzur says, the PA has such a plan: To back Israel into a corner and get Netanyahu to agree to borders of a Palestinian state

    by David Lev

    “There’s a method to PA chief Mahmoud Abbas’ ongoing refusal to negotiate seriously with Israel”, journalist Uri Elitzur told Israelnationalnews in an interview – “and unfortunately, his plan has a relatively good chance of succeeding”.

    Elitzur laid out the plot in the weekend edition of Hebrew newspaper Mekor Rishon, of which he is one of the editors, last Friday. “The PA’s insistence that it will walk out of the talks if Israel ends the building freeze in Judea and Samaria” he says, “is a political gambit for something Abbas and company are far more interested in: An Israeli agreement on the borders of a Palestinian state before resolving other sensitive issues, such as security, Jerusalem, and PA demands that descendants of Arabs who abandoned Israel in 1948 be allowed to return to their former homes”.

    “The strategy is apparent to anyone who bothers to look”, Elitzur says. “Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu knows that the talks are a game, Abbas knows the talks are a game, and both are playing well.” The game, in this case, is to pass the blame for failure of the talks to the other party. U.S. President Barack Obama knows it’s a game, too, Elitzur says – and he also knows how far he can push Israel. “Obama knows that an American president is not a Caesar who can do whatever he wants, and there is a limit to the pressure the White House can impose on Israel.” Given that both Israel and the PA have so many red lines that they dare not cross, the talks were doomed to fail, even before they started, Elitzur says.

    So why bother? “Behind this endless game lies an important consideration: What happens the day after the talks fail? What is the alternative plan?” Unlike Israel, Elitzur says, the PA has such a plan: To back Israel into a corner and get Netanyahu to agree to a “shelf agreement” – meaning that most of the impassable issues would be put “on the shelf” for the time being, while the one issue that the PA really wants to see resolved – the borders of the Palestinian state – are decided right now. Tsipi Livni actually agreed to this when she was Foreign Minister, Elitzur says.

    If the borders between Israel and Palestine are delineated, Elitzur says, the PA can declare an official Palestinian state – one that has a reasonable chance of being accepted by the rest of the world. Contrary to popular thinking, the PA would not be able to get away with declaring a state unilaterally – not after they signed agreement after agreement that specifies negotiations as the only legitimate path to a PA state.

    But if Israel – and the U.S. – agree to delineate the borders, Elitzur says that the PA could probably get a great deal of international support and recognition for the PA state; they might even successfully join the UN. Once that happens, it would be a simple matter to mount a truly effective campaign against Jews residing in “Palestine” – and little by little, Israel would withdraw from all the areas it agreed would be part of a de jure Palestinian state, without achieving any of its security goals – and we would be stuck with a de facto terror state that could pose a mortal threat.

    Would the U.S. recognize such a state? “Maybe not,” Elitzur told Israelnationalnews. “But I believe Obama would. And if he does well in the November elections, he could make life unpleasant for Israel if we don’t go along with the plan, by doing things like abstaining from Security Council votes against us, and so on.”

    In fact, in recent statements, Obama hinted at just such plan, saying in a press conference last week that “ultimately, the way to solve these problems is for the two sides to agree what’s going to be Israel, what’s going to be the state of Palestine. And if you can get that agreement, then you can start constructing anything that the people of Israel see fit in undisputed areas.”

    The PA plan has the potential to change the public discussion on what would constitute a resolution of the Mideast conflict. “Right now, the world hears us talk about a comprehensive agreement, security, two states for two peoples, and so on,” Elitzur says. “But if Abbas has his way, the settlements will be the only issue on the table – because we will have agreed that they are the only issue on the table.” The fact that Netanyahu is likely to offer less of Judea and Samaria for a Palestinian state than either Livni or Olmert were – about 90% (although, says Elitzur, the rest will be made up with territory currently part of the State of Israel), is a sacrifice Abbas is willing to make in order to be able to declare an independent Palestine without having to hew to any of Israel’s conditions.

    So will he get away with it? “So far, Netanyahu seems to be avoiding this trap, but he is not immune to pressure.” It would make things much easier for Obama, too; instead of pressuring Israel to compromise on dozens of issues, he would have only one issue to persuade – or pressure – Netanyahu to accept. Is there anything the average Israeli can do about it? “Say tehillim,” Elitzur says. “And tell your friends to read the story that Arutz 7 is doing about it.

  • Posted by yamit82 @ 5:58 pm | 6 Comments »

    6 Comments to Journalist Reveals The PA’s ‘Palestine Plot’

    1. SarahSue says:

      I am not buying this as a viable and likely outcome of the ‘peace process’. Why? Because too many well-meaning pundits have tried to read the tea leaves and predict what will happen next only to be proven wrong time and time again.

      I have no reason to believe that PM Benjamin Netanyahu or President Obama will do the right thing, but I have plenty of confidence in Abu Mazen doing the wrong thing.

      Elitzur seems to think that President Obama can bring pressure to bear on the PLO, yet the last sixty years proves this not true. Arafat and Mazen have said ‘no’ many times to the most powerful presidents in the world and there is no evident that this trend will not continue.

      The main fault in the thinking of these forecasters of the future is that they do not understand the muslim mind. They buy into the canard that muslims want what we want…their own country so that they can live in peace and security along side their neighbors. But unfortunately for these pundits, they have to ignore at least sixty years of Israeli/muslim history. Yet time and time again, I see foreign policy ‘experts’ predict the future based on Western thinking without taking into account muslim thinking.

      The fact is, muslims do not think like Westerns. They do not want the same things as Westerners. Their goals are not the same as Westerners. Here is a little gem I came across that shows this very thing. What we call evil, they support. What we reject, they embrace.

      DUBAI (Al Arabiya)- The Kuwait government asked Interpol to arrest and hand over an exiled Shiite man after it had stripped him of citizenship after remarks he made about prominent Islamic figures, Kuwait’s Al-Anba newspaper reported…If arrested, Habib would face charges of “deriding religious symbols and sowing the seeds of sedition among Kuwaitis, and inciting sectarian strife,” said Minister of State for Cabinet Affairs Rawdan al-Rawdan in a statement.

      And how did he “insult” Aisha? He claimed she was not a six-year-old child when she married Big Mo, instead she was much older and this is child-bride myth was being used by Christians and Jews to insult Islam. No really, I’m not making that up… h/t Tundra Tabloids

      Even though there are thousands of examples of this ass-backwards type of thinking, Elitzur still thinks that the PLO can be pressured using good old Chicago style politics. What pressure has worked so far? None! What makes any person believe that pressure will work in the future? The same pair of rose colored glasses that I don once in a while.

      I can work up a nice fantasy as well as anybody. A fantasy where our leaders do the right thing, put the wants and needs of their people first and call a spade a spade. But when my fantasy hits the road, it shatters into a million pieces and I am forced to confront the painful reality of facts on the ground.

      On September 1, 1967, Arab leaders passed the Khartoum Resolutions, no recognition, no peace, no negotiation with Israel. While President Obama can force Abu Mazen to sit in a chair, no one can accuse Abu Mazen of negotiating with Israel. That, in a nutshell, is why the ‘peace talks’ are such a farce.

      Anyone who ignores this history is likely to be shown up as a fool. Elitzur is joining a long list of people that just do not get it including the President of the United States. Until they do, this charade will continue. Do not these leaders have anything better to do? Does Iran come to mind? Guess not.

    2. yamit82 says:

      Crowley Tweets About Increasing US Pressure on Israel

      American State Department Spokesman Philip Crowley said via Twitter on Saturday that the United States is doing all it can to assure the continuation of negotiations between Israel and the American-backed Palestinians Authority. “Doing all it can” is generally understood by political analysts to infer increased pressure on Israel to make concessions.

    3. yamit82 says:

      Activists Prepare for Freeze End

      Resistance activists have hauled construction equipment into the Jewish community of Revava in northern Samaria in preparation for the end of the American-imposed 10-month ban on Jewish construction on Sunday.

      Member of Knesset Danny Danon (Likud) said Saturday that activists plan to lay the cornerstone of a new neighborhood in the community on Sunday and that further construction is planned for Monday.

    4. yamit82 says:

      Barak Speaks with Mubarak Regarding Freeze

      Defense Minister Ehud Barak (Labor), currently in New York, spoke by telephone with Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak regarding the building freeze for Jewish residents of Judea and Samaria scheduled to end on Sunday.

      Government sources in Israel said this was not a “show”, and that while no agreement had been reached, many efforts were being made to prevent talks between Israel and the American-backed Palestinian Authority from breaking down over the construction issue.

    5. howieg says:

      Please keep this in mind. The Land of biblical Israel encompasses Eastern Egypt, Sinai, Jordan/parts Of Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Part of Ssyria, Lebanon, part of Turkey, part of Irak.

      The cities that fall within the borders of Israel include Amman, Cairo, Beirut, Damascas.

      Jordan is not Palestine, Jordan is Israel.Syria, Lebanon are not Arab- These territories are very much part of the Jewish Kingdom of Israel.

      We must not continue to short change ourselves

    6. Vinnie says:

      Bibi is going to let Abbas walk out of the talks. That is to the good; better now than after the November elections, when Obama will have no inhibitions against putting the screws full force to Israel.

      Bibi has to make the recognition issue the first and foremost priority in terms of Israel’s message to the court of world opinion. He tries to do this, but he needs to try harder. This can, and should, replace the bogus “settlements” issue.

      All the same, for now, the world’s media reportage on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is controlled by the Saudis.

      No doubt Abbas intends to scuttle the talks so the matter can be referred to the UN, so they can “impose” a solution, and turn Israel into an out-and-out pariah state. That is the plan, but it might not work out that way.

      Anyway, this is the “moment of truth” for Bibi. We’ll see what he’s really made of in the next week, the next few months. Is Yamit right? Is he a craven coward in the end? Or not? We shall see.

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