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  • November 23, 2012

    Obama’s pledge of US troops to Sinai next week won Israel’s nod for ceasefire

    IF THIS PANS OUT, THE IT WILL BE GREAT VICTORY FOR BIBI AND ISRAEL.

    WHY IS IT THAT BIBI DIDN’T GO PUBLIC WITH THIS AND DEBKA PUT OUT THE STORY FIRST. DOES DEBKA HAVE IT RIGHT?

    DEBKAfile Exclusive Report November 23, 2012, 3:11 PM (GMT+02:00)

    Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu agreed to a ceasefire for halting the eight-day Israeli Gaza operation Wednesday night, Nov. 21, after President Barack Obama personally pledged to start deploying US troops in Egyptian Sinai next week, DEBKAfile reports. The conversation, which finally tipped the scales for a ceasefire, took place on a secure line Wednesday morning, just hours before it was announced in Cairo. The US and Israeli leaders spoke at around the time that a terrorist was blowing up a Tel Aviv bus, injuring 27 people.

    Obama’s pledge addressed Israel’s most pressing demand in every negotiating forum on Gaza: Operation Pillar of Cloud’s main goal was a total stoppage of the flow of Iranian arms and missiles to the Gaza Strip. They were smuggled in from Sudan and Libya through southern Egypt and Sinai. Hostilities would continue, said the prime minister, until this object was achieved.


    Earlier, US officials tried unsuccessfully to persuade Israel to accept Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi’s personal guarantee to start launching effective operations against the smugglers before the end of the month. The trio running Israel’s Gaza campaign, Netanyahu, Defense Minister Ehud Barak and Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman, were willing to take Morsi at his word, except that Israeli security and intelligence chiefs assured them that Egypt has nothing near the security and intelligence capabilities necessary for conducting such operations.

    When Secretary of State Hillary Clinton arrived in Jerusalem from Bangkok Tuesday, she tried assuring Netanyahu that President Obama had decided to accelerate the construction of an elaborate US system of electronic security fences along the Suez Canal and northern Sinai. It would also cork up the Philadelphi route through which arms are smuggled into the Gaza Strip. (The US Sinai fence project was first disclosed exclusively by DEBKA-Net-Weekly 564 on Nov. 9).
    US security and civilian units will need to be deployed in Egyptian Sinai to man the fence system and operate it as an active counter-measure for obstructing the smuggling of Iranian weapons supplies.
    The prime minister said he welcomed the president’s proposal to expedite the fence project, but it would take months to obtain Egyptian clearance. Meanwhile, the Palestinians would have plenty of time to replenish their weapons stocks after Israel’s Gaza campaign. It was therefore too soon to stop the campaign at this point or hold back a ground incursion.
    Clinton was sympathetic to this argument. Soon after, President Obama was on the phone to Netanyahu with an assurance that US troops would be in place in Sinai next week, after he had obtained President Morsi’s consent for them to go into immediate action against Iranian smuggling networks.

    Netanyahu responded by agreeing to a ceasefire being announced in Cairo that night by Clinton and the Egyptian foreign minister, and to holding back the thousands of Israeli reservists on standby on the Gaza border.

    DEBKAfile’s military sources report that the first air transports carrying US special forces are due to land at Sharm el Sheikh military airfield in southern Sinai in the next 48 hours and go into action against the arms smugglers without delay.

    This development is strategically significant for three reasons:

      1. Once the missile and arms consignments depart Iranian ports or Libyan arms bazaars, Tehran has no direct control of their transit from point to point through Egypt until they reach Sinai and their Gaza destination. All the same, a US special forces operation against the Sinai segment of the Iranian smuggling route would count as the first overt American military strike against an Iranian military interest.

      Netanyahu, Barak and Lieberman are impressed by the change the Obama administration has undergone since the president’s reelection. Until then, he refused to hear of any military action against Iran and insisted that Tehran could only be confronted on the diplomatic plane.

      2. President Morsi, by opening the Sinai door to an American troop deployment for Israel’s defense, recognizes that the US force also insures Israel against Cairo revoking or failing to honor the peace treaty Egypt signed with Israel in 1979.

      3. In the face of this US-Israel-Egyptian understanding, Hamas cannot credibly claim to have won its latest passage of arms with Israel or that it obtained guarantees to force Israel to end the Gaza blockade.

    Indeed, Gaza’s Hamas rulers will be forced to watch as US troops in Sinai, just across its border, break up the smuggling rings filling their arsenals and most likely laying hands on the reserve stocks they maintain under the smugglers’ guard in northern Sinai, out of reach of the Israel army. This means that the blockade on Gaza has been extended and the focus of combat has switched from Gaza to the Sinai Peninsula.

  • Posted by Ted Belman @ 3:37 pm | 78 Comments »

    78 Comments to Obama’s pledge of US troops to Sinai next week won Israel’s nod for ceasefire

    1. roamnrab says:

      @ Bernard Ross:
      Bernard,

      NO IT’S NOT, IT’S A J-USHKA MISSIONARY SITE! STAY AWAY!

      Yamit, I am really surprised at your (very unusual for you?) lack of care in posting form this site?

      Maybe all your interaction with Bland is getting to you???

    2. yamit82 says:

      @ roamnrab:

      roamnrab Said:

      Bernard,

      NO IT’S NOT, IT’S A J-USHKA MISSIONARY SITE! STAY AWAY!

      Yamit, I am really surprised at your (very unusual for you?) lack of care in posting form this site?

      Maybe all your interaction with Bland is getting to you???

      I already answered Bernard on this.

      Bland? Bland who???

    3. Canadian Otter says:

      @ yamit82:
      Thank you for the instructions. Regarding Caroline Glick, she may be acting like a loving mom who will never lose hope of seeing her wayward son (BB) change his ways. Her attachment to the US also springs from an emotional base. It’s her native country and attachments and a shared history are hard to give up.

    4. Canadian Otter says:

      My previous talkback leads me to one of my pet subjects: When we (me too!) come up with rational solutions for the ME problems, we often fail to take into account that people are not always guided by reason but by emotions. We sense the world through our limbic system.

      ” The limbic system’s amygdala is important for making associations (a certain fragrance often elicits an associated visual image). It appears to be responsible for the influence of emotional states on sensory inputs (the sound of one’s own motorcycle is never perceived as noise).”http://its.sdsu.edu/multimedia/mathison/limbic/index.htm

      Translating this into the ME context can be interesting. Arabs react to Jews and Israel not according to reason but according to the indoctrination they received from their surroundings since toddlerhood, when proud mamma put a toy suicide-belt around their waist and took a picture for posterity. Israeli politicians too are susceptible to emotions (good and bad) in guiding their decisions. Those who know how to manipulate them, win the game.

    5. Bernard Ross says:

      yamit82 Said:

      The True Clash of Civilizations

      I found the link to be very interesting

    6. Andrew says:

      yamit82 Said:

      Bland? Bland who???

      Where is Bland? Has he been banned since that meltdown of his a while ago?

    7. yamit82 says:

      @ Canadian Otter:

      My dogs were very sensitive to Arabs because of their smell. No Arabs could get within 50 ft of my dogs before they would get agitated and start to growl and bark.

      I had a little dog who occasionally got loose and once she went to a nearby Arab encampment and stole a live chicken. I was near the gate of Yamit and was looking for my missing dog when suddenly she burst through the open gate with the chicken firmly in her mouth but with a whole passel of angry Arabs chasing her. One asked knowingly if she were my dog and I replied that I never saw her before. I still laugh at the scene.

    8. Scorpio says:

      The Egyptian government, now in the midst of a fight for its own legitimacy and survival, has already denied the DEBKA report.
      Are the US troops on their way to the Sinai, and if yes, when are they expected on he ground and in action?

    9. Canadian Otter says:

      @ yamit82:
      :-)
      Excellent story. Regarding dogs’ socially discriminatory sense of smell – all true. I know of dogs who never bark at visitors as long as they look well attired. But they go crazy when anyone with scruffy appearance approaches their house. How can they tell? Perhaps they tune in to their master’s mind. In other words, they read your thoughts.

    10. dionissis mitropoulos says:

      yamit82 Said:

      I had a little dog who occasionally got loose and once she went to a nearby Arab encampment and stole a live chicken. I was near the gate of Yamit and was looking for my missing dog when suddenly she burst through the open gate with the chicken firmly in her mouth but with a whole passel of angry Arabs chasing her. One asked knowingly if she were my dog and I replied that I never saw her before. I still laugh at the scene.

      So now we have proof, delivered to us by a representative of the Israeli Army, that Jews not only steal the land of the Palestinians, but their livelihood too.

      Shame on you, Jews!!!

    11. dionissis mitropoulos says:

      Canadian Otter Said:

      How can they tell? Perhaps they tune in to their master’s mind.

      Canadian, i always had this impression about dogs.

      They must be tuning in through the various smells that their owners’ different emotional states emit combined with the ownwer’s body language and tone of voice and facial expressions.

    12. the phoenix says:

      @ dionissis mitropoulos:
      Kalimera Dionisis,
      You gotta stop visiting British zoos…they are bad influence.
      :)

    13. Canadian Otter says:

      @ dionissis mitropoulos:
      That sounds very plausible. Theirs is a world of smells. They also have a highly developed sixth sense. They seem to know when their masters are coming home, for example, and show many other unexplainable abilities.

      CATS too are amazing in how they tune in to,,, well, we couldn’t call ourselves their masters … but their “help”…. Yes, we are basically the “help” tasked with making sure they are always happy, comfortable and well fed according to four-star service. They tune in to us to control us! :-)

    14. dionissis mitropoulos says:

      @ Canadian Otter:
      Canadian Otter Said:

      CATS too are amazing in how they tune in to,,, well, we couldn’t call ourselves their masters … but their “help”…. Yes, we are basically the “help” tasked with making sure they are always happy, comfortable and well fed according to four-star service. They tune in to us to control us!

      Tell me about it!

      Last December, a stray cat came up the fourth floor of the block of flats i live, entered through the small cat-door i had for my previous cat, and asked for food. I let her stay, she was pregnant, and now i am the proud servant of seven cats.

    15. dionissis mitropoulos says:

      @ the phoenix:
      the phoenix Said:

      You gotta stop visiting British zoos…they are bad influence.

      I will keep visiting the Daily Telegraph at least every time that Dr Richard Landes has a post – he is my number one thinker on Israel.

      But, phoenix, it helps to engage the anti-Israel crowd. Some of them can be made to change their minds, plus there are others who just read the comment sections and do not enter the debate. We shouldn’t let an anti-Israel falsitiy unanswered, because those non-participating readers will get the impression that the falsity is true, since no one disputed it.

      Finally, making a good argument helps pro-Israel commentators who might have not thought about it, and who will be able to use this argument in a future debate.

    16. Canadian Otter says:

      @ dionissis mitropoulos:
      Congratulations! I hope the kittens get all adopted by loving homes and that you’ll keep their mom once she’s fixed, of course. Cats are amazing companions, in their ‘royalty style’ of course. The love of my life was a tiny 7 pound cat. She was smarter than many people I know, and far more fun.

      I am too lazy to have dogs. They require their daily walk, rain or shine. And it rains a lot over here! But I love them too. I regularly visit a dog park nearby, where they are allowed to run and play without a leash, to enjoy other people’s dogs.

    17. dionissis mitropoulos says:

      @ Canadian Otter:
      Canadian Otter Said:

      Congratulations! I hope the kittens get all adopted by loving homes and that you’ll keep their mom once she’s fixed, of course.

      I will keep them all, mother and kids. You can’t imagine what sort of a bleeding heart i am when it comes to animals – no, actually you can, you sound to be exactly the type!!!

      Three of them have opted for the outdoors (there is a small cat-door in the main entrance of my block of flats – i had to persuade in the past all the tenants). They live outside because they chose so, they can always come up if they want. I have to get out twice a day to feed them.

      I have taken action so that there will be no more births. Not spaying, because i did not want to mess up with their hormones, but tubal ligation, a procedure that does not allow them to get pregnant but that allows them to maintain their hormones and their desire for sex – it is also the less intruding surgical operation, compared to the alternatives, since no tissue or reproductive organ is removed.

      I have to stop the cat-talk because i can sense that Mr Belman is going to banish me forever if i keep it up!

    18. Canadian Otter says:

      @ dionissis mitropoulos:
      They’ll repay you with so much fun and affection. Deep inside their haughty attitude, they really love you.

      I hope you’ll keep us posted about the kittens and their mom.

      And a BIG, BIG THANKS from this animal lover for your generosity and kindness.

    19. dionissis mitropoulos says:

      @ Canadian Otter:
      Canadian, thanks a lot.

    20. the phoenix says:

      dionissis mitropoulos Said:

      i am the proud servant of seven cats.

      dionisis… i like you more and more
      (i too am the humble servant of four felines… :) )

    21. dionissis mitropoulos says:

      @ the phoenix:
      phoenix, i like you too.

      the phoenix Said:

      i too am the humble servant of four felines…

      Both of us then are in the (fe)line of duty!

    22. yamit82 says:

      @ the phoenix:

      I ain’t trying to one-up on you guys but I have a dog, a horse and 12 cats I admit to being mine or I theirs, and take care of feeding and care of some thirty five – forty other cats who were born either in my house and moved out or were born on my property and stayed on for the 5 star service. Numbers are always in flux. :P

    23. yamit82 says:

      @ dionissis mitropoulos:

      Cats will never stray far from their food source and generally like to be solitary. I keep a window in my house slightly open so they can come and go as they want. I lost control long ago and feel like the “Old woman who lived in a shoe”

    24. dionissis mitropoulos says:

      @ yamit82:
      Ah, yamit, i wish i could be in your place, living in the countryside and not have to worry about neighbors’ complaints as to the number of beasts i can host. I also wouldn’t have had to take them to surgery for birth control, i think it was more traumatic for me than for them – they have forgotten about it by now, it’s been over two months.

    25. Fran says:

      For the last 35 years I have been traveling to Israel with a dog. It is interesting that one of my dogs many years ago reacted to Arabs in Gaza in a similar way as Yamit’s dog….She growled and was very angry but was a sweet animal to strangers throughout our trip in Israel.

    26. dionissis mitropoulos says:

      @ Fran:
      Fran Said:

      She growled and was very angry

      No surprise there, dogs can smell the aggression and this is one of the few human emotions that the Arabs are not deficient in.

    27. yamit82 says:

      @ Fran:

      Two reason’s dogs react to Arabs in that way. Arabs are terribly afraid of dogs and dogs sense and smell the fear.

      Second reason is many if not most Arabs have the smell of animals on them like donkeys, chickens, horses etc. The smell is on their bodies and cloths.

    28. dionissis mitropoulos says:

      @ yamit82:
      yamit82 Said:

      Two reason’s dogs react to Arabs in that way. Arabs are terribly afraid of dogs and dogs sense and smell the fear.

      Second reason is many if not most Arabs have the smell of animals on them like donkeys, chickens, horses etc. The smell is on their bodies and cloths.

      Yamit, my explanation was far more disparaging for Arabs.

      Why did you have to spoil it with the truth???

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